ECO 328: Monetary Economics and Forecasting

I have posted a syllabus.

On Tuesday, March 31, we will have the first forecasting presentation and begin Eichenbaum and Fisher (2004)

On Thursday, April 2, will will finish the above paper. We will then begion Holston, Laubach, and Williams (2017). Nites are available for both.

HW2 is up. It is due on 4/8.

The course will be divided into five blocks. Materials will be posted below.

Topic 0: Math Background

A Short Primer on Linear Algebra and Partial Derivatives:

Notes

Topic 1: The New Keynesian Model

Gali Ch 2: Notes

Gali Ch 3: Notes

Gali Ch 4: Notes

Topic 2: Extensions to Monetary Policy

Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Leeper, E. 1991. “Equilibria under ‘active’ and ‘passive’ monetary and fiscal policies,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 129-147, February. Notes

Financial Acceleration: Iacoviello, Matteo. 2005. “House Prices, Borrowing Constraints, and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle.” American Economic Review 95 (3): 739–764. Notes

Kuttner, Kenneth N. “Outside the Box: Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Great Recession and Beyond.” The Journal of Economic Perspectives 32, no. 4 (2018): 121–46. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26513499. Notes

Topic 3:Macroeconometric Methods

Non-Stationarity and Dicky Fuller Tests: Notes Stata Blog Post

VARS: Notes

Topic 4:Macroeconometric Methods

Notes on Monetary Policy, Uncertainty, and Fiscal Policy

Weale, Martin, and Tomasz Wieladek. “What are the macroeconomic effects of asset purchases?.” Journal of monetary Economics 79 (2016): 81-93.

Leduc, Sylvain, and Zheng Liu. “Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks.” Journal of monetary economics 82 (2016): 20-35.

Eichenbaum, Martin S., and Jonas Fisher. “Fiscal Policy in the Aftermath of 9/11.” (2004).

Holston, K., Laubach, T. and John Williams. 2017. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants, Journal of International Economics 108, May 2017. S59-S75 Notes