Research

Publications:

Housing and Endogenous Growth and Household Leverage. Forthcoming, Macroeconomic Dynamics with Emily Marshall and Hoang Nguyen

Learning, Hedging, and the Natural Rate Hypothesis,. Forthcoming, Macroeconomic Dynamics. with Thomas Cone

Short-Sighted Managers and Learnable Sunspot Equilibria, 2016. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 46: 117-126.

Estimating the Causal Relationship Between Foreclosures and Unemployment During the Great Recession. 2015. Economics Letters. Vol. 134: 90-93. (with Ghulam Awais Rana) Article

Red Herrings and Revelations: Does Learning About a New Variable Worsen Forecasts?“ 2015. Economic Modelling. Vol. 39: 395-406. Article

“Learning By Doing, Short-Sightedness, and Indeterminacy.” 2013. Economic Journal, Vol. 123(569): 738-763. Article

“A Note on Bubbles, Worthless Assets, and the Curious Case of General Motors.” 2014. Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 18(1), 244-254 . with Tom Ahn and Jeremy Sandford. Article

“Predicting the Winner of Tied NFL Games: Do the Details Matter?” forthcoming. Journal of Sports Economics. with Jared QuenzelArticle

“Optimal Setting of Point Spreads.” 2013.  Economica. Vol. 80 (317): 149-170. with Jeremy Sandford. Article

“Real Estate Pricing Under Two-sided Asymmetric Information. 2013. Theoretical Economics Letters, Vol. 3(4).  with Jeremy Sandford.  Article

“Are Sunspots Stabilizing?” 2011. Theoretical Economics Letters, Vol. 1 (3). Article

“Adaptive Learning with a Unit Root: An Application to the Current Account.” 2010. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vlo. 34 (2): 179-190. with Ron DaviesArticle

“Real-Time Rational Expectations and Indeterminacy.” 2008. Economics Letters. Vol. 99 (3): 530-533Article

Working Papers: Macroeconomics

Housing and Endogenous Default, this version, August 2015. with Emily Marshall

Wealth vs. Income Taxes in a Model of Credit Constraints and Inequality, this version January 2015.

Learning and the Prevalence of Religion, , this version, February 2013

Estimating the E ffects of Quantitative Easing on the Real Economy with Yanying Sheng and Mike “The Hammer” Varner

Working Papers: Microeconomics

Guilty Beyond a Vague and Uncertain Doubt: Burdens of Proof Across Communities, this version, March 2017. with Jamesa Drake

Mend it, Don’t End it: Optimal Mortality in Affairs of Honor, this version, February 2015. with Tom Ahn and Jeremy Sandford.