Research

Publications:

Cone, Thomas E. & Shea, Paul, 2019. “Learning, Hedging, And The Natural Rate Hypothesis,” Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 2009-2034, July.

Marshall, Emily C. & Nguyen, Hoang & Shea, Paul, 2019. “Endogenous Growth And Household Leverage,” Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 2089-2113, July.

Jared Quenzel & Paul Shea, 2016. “Predicting the Winner of Tied National Football League Games,” Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 17(7), pages 661-671, October.

Shea, Paul, 2016. “Short-sighted managers and learnable sunspot equilibria,” Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 117-126.

Rana, Ghulam Awais & Shea, Paul, 2015. “Estimating the causal relationship between foreclosures and unemployment during the great recession,” Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 90-93.

Shea, Paul, 2015. “Red herrings and revelations: does learning about a new variable worsen forecasts?,” Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 395-406.

Ahn, Tom & Sandford, Jeremy & Shea, Paul, 2014. “A Note On Bubbles, Worthless Assets, And The Curious Case Of General Motors,” Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 244-254, January.

Jeremy Sandford & Paul Shea, 2013. “Optimal Setting of Point Spreads,” Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 80(317), pages 149-170, January.

Paul Shea, 2013. “Learning by Doing, Short‐sightedness and Indeterminacy,” Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 123, pages 738-763, June.

Davies, Ronald B. & Shea, Paul, 2010. “Adaptive learning with a unit root: An application to the current account,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 179-190, February.

Working papers:

Mortality shocks and growth cycles